Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006515 0.007297 0.008147 0.009144 0.010282 0.011545 0.013057
2025-02-16 0.005294 0.006367 0.007634 0.009250 0.011270 0.013727 0.016968
2025-02-23 0.004521 0.005692 0.007151 0.009119 0.011730 0.015116 0.019898
2025-03-02 0.004073 0.005323 0.006949 0.009246 0.012454 0.016844 0.023423
2025-03-09 0.003664 0.004939 0.006658 0.009185 0.012868 0.018149 0.026484
2025-03-16 0.003235 0.004474 0.006195 0.008809 0.012762 0.018659 0.028395
2025-03-23 0.002975 0.004215 0.005987 0.008764 0.013114 0.019858 0.031496
2025-03-30 0.002871 0.004167 0.006073 0.009155 0.014162 0.022240 0.036837
2025-04-06 0.002613 0.003865 0.005748 0.008870 0.014091 0.022790 0.039106
2025-04-13 0.002398 0.003610 0.005472 0.008633 0.014062 0.023390 0.041526
2025-04-20 0.002258 0.003459 0.005343 0.008620 0.014404 0.024658 0.045348
2025-04-27 0.002194 0.003425 0.005397 0.008914 0.015309 0.027032 0.051653
2025-05-04 0.002055 0.003261 0.005234 0.008833 0.015556 0.028268 0.055990
2025-05-11 0.001956 0.003157 0.005163 0.008913 0.016116 0.030191 0.062134
2025-05-18 0.001832 0.003003 0.004992 0.008788 0.016264 0.031301 0.066670
2025-05-25 0.001760 0.002929 0.004956 0.008910 0.016908 0.033507 0.074100
2025-06-01 0.001666 0.002812 0.004832 0.008851 0.017175 0.034943 0.079955
2025-06-08 0.001539 0.002625 0.004567 0.008491 0.016776 0.034869 0.082044
2025-06-15 0.001464 0.002531 0.004465 0.008448 0.017044 0.036325 0.088339
2025-06-22 0.001449 0.002543 0.004566 0.008823 0.018266 0.040153 0.101751
2025-06-29 0.001356 0.002403 0.004363 0.008550 0.018006 0.040408 0.105273
2025-07-06 0.001275 0.002282 0.004189 0.008322 0.017826 0.040837 0.109391
2025-07-13 0.001224 0.002215 0.004117 0.008309 0.018146 0.042568 0.117761